John Lott rides again!
Here's a devoted John Lott follower in the Gainesville Times trying to save me. Well, maybe my thoughts on his letter.
Link
"In his April 3 letter, Michael W. Parker used some questionable data to try to prove his point. He would do well to read John Lott’s third edition of “More Guns, Less Crime,” especially chapter 10."
Very much like the supporters of something that was called, The Fair Tax. Past tense. The GOP no longer supports the Fair Tax. But, when anyone questioned the legislation, supporters waved off the questions with ...
"Read the book! It's all explained in there." Wow! Read my blog. It's all explained in there. Sorry. I'm over being childish. For now.
"As I recall, Lott originally began researching crime data with the assumption that more guns would equal more crime. The data, however, proved just the opposite and he was more interested in the truth than his original agenda. Some 'researchers,' however, have an agenda and are willing to manipulate the data to fit their agenda."
Only Lott knows why he applied for free money to research guns. But, I'm sure a lot of economists were writing papers on guns in 1998 using free money. And, I'm sure a lot of researchers in 1997 lost their raw data in a hard drive crash. Can you say back up? Assuming the crash happened, which it did, how did that go over with the people handing out the free money? Hmmm. Didn't tell anyone in 1997 about that lost data. Just went ahead and published. Strong work.
I can imagine Lott explaining the truth, the truth being so dear to him. "Oh, by the way, I don't have any supporting raw data for my finished work. Can I have my final check now? The bank closes at 4 and I don't want to be late."
"He [Parker} stated that a 2002 study by the Violence Policy Center discovered that 41 concealed carry permit holders over a five-year period were “arrested” for murder; not convicted or even officially charged, but “arrested.” It is likely standard procedure for the police to arrest anyone who is involved in a shooting until they can sort things out."
Nice guess on how police operate in Texas. I would really like police to handle every person suspected of a crime in the same way. Maybe Texas has a shoot first and arrest later policy. Maybe.
"This is about as good a demonstration of massaging the data as it gets."
No way! This sentence screams irony. To rebut the data from 1997 to 2002, five years, Lott's devoted follower quotes a study from 2002 to 2006. Four years.
"In actuality, from 2002 to 2006, the number of Texas permit holders who were convicted of a misdemeanor or a felony was 0.04 percent. This is about one-eighth the conviction rate of the general adult population."
The general adult population. Not white males living in low crime areas who feel a need to carry a gun ... compared to a similar group ... say white males living in low crime areas who do not feel a need to carry a gun. That would be too uncomfortable.
"He [Parker} chose to compare Chicago with Atlanta on homicide rates. For 2012, Chicago had a rate of 18.5 and Atlanta 19. If the number of guns were the problem, why are they virtually equal? Since 2000, Chicago’s homicide rate is down by 15 percent and Atlanta’s by 40 percent. It would appear that Atlanta is doing something right."
I haven't looked up the stats on Atlanta from 2000. I do know someone is avoiding the other crimes related to guns. If we're going to compare stats, let's get them all out there. No 'massaging the data.' But here is where I think we get down to it!
"I would challenge Mr. Parker to go to the nearest prison and interview convicted felons asking what they think of gun control and concealed carry. This has been done before and the answers were unanimous. Gun control is highly favored among criminals as it is like health insurance for them. They have the guns and their victims do not.
Concealed carry, on the other hand, is the one thing that they fear most. Even the dumbest of criminals can figure out that attacking someone who is carrying a gun can be hazardous to their health. And since the weapons are concealed, they can’t tell who might be carrying one."
Nope. I'm not going to a prison to take a survey of violent and antisocial felons. Nope. Not going to do that. Or listen to their opinions. Especially if the goal is to find the dumbest of criminals.
Gun nuts. Who can live with them?